Chilliwack, BC · POP — · EMP 51,350 · DATA GRADE A
Chilliwack, BC
exposure score (OpenAI task-exposure index via NOC crosswalk — single-index tier)
more exposed than 10% of Canadian CMAs
Secondary measures
of workers are in occupations where ≥50% of tasks are LLM-exposed (Eloundou β; threshold-sensitive — note)
of area employment matched to scored occupations (grade A)
Scenario: if replacement-level AI arrives in 2030
Figure 1. Modeled displacement under the median preset (diffusion k=0.8, ceiling 0.75, automation share 0.45, friction lag 1.5y, attrition 3%/y). Solid: positions eliminated. The gap between gross and layoffs is natural attrition — speed of diffusion, not depth of exposure, determines layoffs. This is a scenario, not a forecast: adjust every assumption.
Where the losses land — and your assumptions
Positions eliminated by 2035 per occupation group, under the arrival year selected above. Drag any multiplier if you think we're wrong about a group — your model, your numbers. Multipliers scale that group's task exposure (×0 = immune, ×2 = double).
Table 3. Group exposure = employment-weighted mean task exposure (Eloundou β over the group's local occupations). Bars use the same scenario engine as Figure 1 (median preset).
Most exposed local occupations
| Occupation | Jobs | Median wage | Exposure [range] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Retail salespersons and visual merchandisers | 1,820 | — | 61.7 | |
| Retail and wholesale trade managers | 1,375 | — | 68.2 | |
| Accounting technicians and bookkeepers | 715 | — | 83.8 | |
| Administrative assistants | 625 | — | 94.9 | |
| Administrative officers | 600 | — | 82.9 | |
| General office support workers | 660 | — | 74.2 | |
| Transport truck drivers | 1,285 | — | 35.2 | |
| Elementary school and kindergarten teachers | 915 | — | 46.9 | |
| Accounting and related clerks | 480 | — | 86.6 | |
| Social and community service workers | 835 | — | 49.2 |
Table 2. Ranked by exposure × local employment. Bands on the 0–100 occupation scale.
Compare Chilliwack against any other metro — side by side.