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Drummondville, QC · POP — · EMP 49,105 · DATA GRADE A

Drummondville, QC

43.8 /100

exposure score (OpenAI task-exposure index via NOC crosswalk — single-index tier)

#41 of 41

more exposed than 2% of Canadian CMAs

Secondary measures

16.5%

of workers are in occupations where ≥50% of tasks are LLM-exposed (Eloundou β; threshold-sensitive — note)

96.8%

of area employment matched to scored occupations (grade A)

Scenario: if replacement-level AI arrives in 2030

2027 2035

Figure 1. Modeled displacement under the median preset (diffusion k=0.8, ceiling 0.75, automation share 0.45, friction lag 1.5y, attrition 3%/y). Solid: positions eliminated. The gap between gross and layoffs is natural attrition — speed of diffusion, not depth of exposure, determines layoffs. This is a scenario, not a forecast: adjust every assumption.

Where the losses land — and your assumptions

Positions eliminated by 2035 per occupation group, under the arrival year selected above. Drag any multiplier if you think we're wrong about a group — your model, your numbers. Multipliers scale that group's task exposure (×0 = immune, ×2 = double).

Table 3. Group exposure = employment-weighted mean task exposure (Eloundou β over the group's local occupations). Bars use the same scenario engine as Figure 1 (median preset).

Most exposed local occupations

OccupationJobsMedian wageExposure [range]
Administrative assistants 1,050
94.9
Retail salespersons and visual merchandisers 1,585
61.7
Transport truck drivers 1,755
35.2
Retail and wholesale trade managers 840
68.2
Cashiers 1,085
41.9
Administrative officers 520
82.9
Early childhood educators and assistants 1,070
39.8
Shippers and receivers 555
62.4
Elementary school and kindergarten teachers 735
46.9
Accounting and related clerks 395
86.6

Table 2. Ranked by exposure × local employment. Bands on the 0–100 occupation scale.

Compare Drummondville against any other metro — side by side.